Recent debates and speeches...
2019 State of the State speeches (Jan.-March, 2019)
2019 State of the Union speech (Feb. 6, 2019)
2018 State of the State speeches (Jan.-March, 2018)
2018 State of the Union speech (Jan. 30, 2018)
2017 State of the Union speech (Feb. 28, 2017)
Third Presidential debate (Oct. 19, 2016)
Second Presidential debate (Oct. 9, 2016)
Vice-presidential debate (Oct. 4, 2016)
First Presidential debate (Sept. 26, 2016)
Bernie Sanders vs. Hillary Clinton On the Issues (paperback Feb. 2016)
Miami Democratic debate (March 2016)
Miami Republican debate (March 2016)
Republican primary debate in Detroit, Michigan (March 2016)
CNN-Telemundo Republican debate on eve of Texas primary. (Feb. 2016)
2016 CNN GOP Town Hall in South Carolina (Feb. 2016)
2016 CBS News Republican Debate in S.C. (Feb. 2016)
PBS Democratic Primary Debate in Wisconsin (Feb. 2016)
2016 ABC News/IJReview Republican Debate in N.H. (Feb. 2016)
MSNBC Democratic primary debate in New Hampshire (Feb. 2016)
CNN Democratic Town Hall (Jan. 2016)
Fox Iowa GOP debate (Jan. 2016)
NBC/CBC Democratic debate (Jan. 2016)
Fox Business GOP debate (Jan. 2016)
State of the Union address (Jan. 2016)
Hillary Clinton vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues (paperback Feb. 2016)
CNN GOP Nevada debate (Dec. 2015)
Syrian Refugee crisis (Nov.-Dec. 2015)
CBS Democratic debate (Nov. 2015)
Fox Business GOP debate (Nov. 2015)
CNBC GOP debate (Oct. 2015)
CNN Democrat debate (Oct. 2015)
CNN GOP debate (Sept. 2015)
Fox/Facebook GOP debate (August 2015)
Marco Rubio vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues (paperback June 2015)
Hillary Clinton vs. Rand Paul On the Issues (paperback May 2015)
Rand Paul vs. Jeb Bush On the Issues (paperback April 2015)
Jeb vs. Hillary On the Issues (paperback Feb. 2015)
Rand vs. Ron Paul On the Issues (Chart April 2015)
Hillary vs. Bill Clinton On the Issues (Chart Feb. 2015)
Jeb vs. George Bush On the Issues (Chart March 2015)
Excerpts from "Hard Choices" (by Hillary Clinton)
Excerpts from "Immigration Wars" (by Jeb Bush)
Excerpts from "Government Bullies" (by Rand Paul)
Iowa pre-caucus Summits (Jan.-March, 2015)
2015 presidential hopeful excerpts
Senate debates (for Nov. 2014 elections):
Recent books by...
Former Gov. Mitt Romney (R, MA)
Rep. Paul Ryan (R, WI)
Pres. Barack Obama
The Audacity of Hope
V.P. Joe Biden
Promises to Keep
Former Rep. Ron Paul
End the Fed
Former Pres. George W. Bush
Former Gov. Sarah Palin (R, AK)
America By Heart
Secy. of State Hillary Clinton
Former Pres. Bill Clinton
Gov. Jesse Ventura
Book Reviews & Excerpts
(click a book cover for excerpts and a review or other books by or about the presidency from Amazon.com)
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Beto O'Rourke announces for presidency, March 14, 2019
Summary of large field of Demcoratic primary contenders
OnTheIssues highlights some of the other Democratic presidential candidates (plus see earlier posts below for more!):
Source: OnTheIssues coverage of 2020 presidential hopefuls.
State of the State speeches, March 1, 2019
Democratic governors report to state legislatures
OnTheIssues will excerpt every State of the State speech; some early highlights:
CA: Gavin Newsom: On Environment: The water we drink & the air we breathe hang in the balance
CO: Jared Polis: On Education: Started two public charter schools for at-risk youth
DE: John Carney: On Energy & Oil: If Washington won't act on climate change, we will
HI: David Ige: On Welfare & Poverty: Lease state land for affordable housing
KS: Laura Kelly: On Health Care: KanCare-based Medicaid expansion to save rural hospitals
VA: Ralph Northam: On Government Reform: Finally allow no-excuse absentee voting.
WV: Jim Justice: On Drugs: Jim's Dream: job training program for drug addicts
Source: State of the State excerpts.
State of the State speeches, Feb. 28, 2019
Republican governors report to state legislatures
The first three months of the year are prime time for State of the State speeches. Some highlights from Republican governors:
AK: Mike Dunleavy: On Crime: Declare war on criminals
AR: Asa Hutchinson: On Tax Reform: 2-4-5.9 plan: flatten & simplify rates, to spur growth
GA: Brian Kemp: On Health Care: Don't expand the broken Medicaid system
IA: Kim Reynolds: On Technology: Access to high speed internet is crucial: dedicate $140M
ID: Brad Little: On Health Care: Honor the will of the people & implement Medicaid expansion
IN: Eric Holcomb: On Education: $140M to increase teacher pay
MA: Charlie Baker: On Drugs: Four pillars: prevention, education, treatment and recovery
MO: Mike Parson: On Technology: Invest $350M in bridges, and $5M internet access
MS: Phil Bryant: On Free Trade: Mississippi is part of global market, from Tel Aviv to Tokyo
ND: Doug Burgum: On Energy & Oil: Brown coal is transforming power plant emissions
NM: Doug Ducey: On Free Trade: USMCA: new trade deal with Mexico means jobs in Arizona
WY: Mark Gordon: On Energy & Oil: Make Wyoming a leader in advancing carbon sequestration
Source: State of the State excerpts.
Bernie Sanders announces: Feb. 19, 2019
Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) announces for President
Bernie Sanders, a U.S. senator from Vermont, announced he would run for the Democratic Party nomination for president, on Feb. 19.
Outsider in the House, by Bernie Sanders and Hank Gutman
Playing Bigger Than You Are, by Stewart Acuff, Intro by Sen. Bernie Sanders (with explanation of "community organizing")
The Speech: A Historic Filibuster on Corporate Greed and the Decline of our Middle Class, by Sen. Bernie Sanders
Milk Money, by Kirk Kardashian, Intro by Sen. Bernie Sanders (with explanation of "democratic socialism")
12 Steps Forward, by Sen. Bernie Sanders
The Essential Bernie Sanders and His Vision for America, by Jonathan Tasini
Outsider in the White House, by Sen. Bernie Sanders
PBS Democratic Primary Debate (last debate against Hillary; with links to all earlier debates)
Bernie vs. Hillary On The Issues, by OnTheIssues.org
Source: See Bernie Sanders OnTheIssues for links to all of the above.
State of the Union speech, Feb. 5, 2019
With several Democratic responses plus fact-cehcking
President Trump gave his second State of the Union address to Congress. Highlights:
Donald Trump: withdrawing from the INF; a new anti-HIV goal; and finalization of the USMCA.
Stacey Abrams: Democratic Party rebuttal from Georgia 2018 nominee.
Bernie Sanders: Progressive response from Vermont Senator.
Kamala Harris: Democratic Party prebuttal from California Senator.
Xavier Becerra: Democratic Party Spanish-language response from California Attorney General.
Source: State of the Union excerpts.
Cory Booker announces: Feb. 1, 2019
Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ) announces for President
Source: See Cory Booker OnTheIssues for links to all of the above.
Kirsten Gillibrand announces: Jan. 15, 2019
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) announces for President
Source: See 2018 New York Senate debates with links to other 2018 debates.
Elizabeth Warren announces: Dec. 31, 2018
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) announces for President
Source: See Elizabeth Warren OnTheIssues for links to all of the above.
Lame Duck Congressional Session: November-December, 2018
Special Election inaugurees into U. S. House of Representatives
A "special election" means a vacant House seat was filled -- and the winner gets seated immediately.
Winners of the general election will be seated on Jan. 3, 2019.
The new members of Congress listed below are part of the "lame duck" session
-- the period after the election and before the new Congress' inauguration in January.
Some special elections took place before November and some races took some time to count -- inauguration dates listed below.
AZ-8: Debbie Lesko (R) May 7, 2018
MI-13: Brenda Jones (D) Nov. 30, 2018
NY-25: Joe Morelle (D) Nov. 13, 2018
OH-12: Troy Balderson (R) Sept. 5, 2018
OK-1: Kevin Hern (R) Nov.13, 2018
PA-7: Mary Gay Scanlon (D) Nov.13, 2018
PA-15: Susan Wild (D) Nov.28, 2018
PA-18: Conor Lamb (D) April 12, 2018
TX-27: Michael Cloud (R) July 10, 2018
Source: Google Analytics and OnTheIssues analysis.
Election Results: Nov. 7, 2018
Democrats take House; Republicans gain in Senate; Dems gain in Governorships
Following are summary results of Senate and Gubernatorial elections. For winners per race, scroll down to our predictions below.
Races which are too close to call as of Wednesday morning: (we'll fill these in as results become available):
Senatorial Results in 35 races: 2 Democratic takeovers: AZ, NV
4 Republican takeovers: FL, IN, MO, ND
22 Democratic retentions: CA, CT, DE, HI, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN-2, MN-6, MT, NJ, NM, NY, OH, PA, RI, VT, VA, WA, WI, WV
6 Republican retentions: MS-6, NE, TN, TX, UT, WY
1 race undecided: MS-2 (runoff Nov. 27)
2018 Senate partisan balance: 51-47 R-D; 2019 Senate balance: 52/53-47/48 R-D.
OnTheIssues prediction score: We predicted 24 senatorial races correctly; and 11 incorrectly (69% accuracy).
Gubernatorial Results in 36 races: 7 Democratic takeovers: IL, KS, ME, MI, NV, NM, WI
1 Republican takeovers: AK
9 Democratic retentions: CA, CO, CT, HI, MN, NY, OR, PA, RI
17 Republican retentions: AL, AZ, AR, FL, GA, ID, IA, MD, MA, NE, NH, OH, OK, SC, SD, TN, TX, VT, WI
2018 Governor partisan balance: 34-16 R-D; 2019 Governor partisan balance: 28-22 R-D.
OnTheIssues prediction score: We predicted 21 gubernatorial races correctly; and 15 incorrectly (58% accuracy).
House Results in 435 races: 40 Democratic takeovers: AZ-2, CA-10, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49, CO-6, FL-26, FL-27,
GA-6, IA-1, IA-3, IL-6, IL-14, KS-3, ME-2, MI-8, MI-11, MN-2,
MN-3, NJ-2, NJ-3, NJ-7, NJ-11, NM-2, NY-11, NY-19, OK-5, PA-4,
PA-5, PA-6, PA-7, SC-1, TX-7, TX-32, VA-2, VA-7, VA-10, WA-8
3 Republican takeovers: MN-1, MN-8, PA-14
173 Democratic incumbents re-elected.
165 Republican incumbents re-elected.
20 Democratic retentions (new Freshman Democratic members) in:
AZ-8, AZ-9, CO-2, CT-5, HI-1, IL-4, MA-3, MA-7, MD-6, MI-9,
MN-5, NH-1, NM-1, NV-3, NV-4, NY-14, NY-25, PA-17, TX-16, TX-29
32 Republican retentions (new Freshman Republican members) in:
FL-6, FL-15, FL-17, ID-1, IN-4, IN-6, KS-2, MS-3, MT-0, NC-9,
ND-0, OH-12, OH-16, OK-1, PA-9, PA-13, SC-4, SD-0, TN-2, TN-6,
TN-7, TX-2, TX-3, TX-5, TX-6, TX-21, TX-27, VA-5, VA-6, TK,
2 undecided races: GA-7 (incumbent Republican), UT-4 (incumbent Republican)
2018 House partisan balance: 239 Republicans to 196 Democrats (counting four vacancies as party of incumbent);
2019 House partisan balance: 202/201/200 Republicans to 233/234/235 Democrats.
Total size of Freshman class (new members who were not elected in Nov. 2016): 35/36 Republicans + 60/61/62 Democrats.
Source: See OnTheIssues Senate coverage and OnTheIssues Gubernatorial coverage, plus election results.
Senatorial election prediction:Nov. 2, 2018
Predictions in Senator's races: 7 Republican takeovers; 3 Democratic takeovers
OnTheIssues makes our predictions in each Senatorial race (see our methodology in our House predictons on Oct. 24). Highlights:
3 Democratic takeovers: AZ, NV, TX
7 Republican takeovers: IN, MI, MN-2, MO, NM, NY, WI
20 Democratic retentions: CA, CT, DE, FL, HI, ME, MD, MA, MN-6, MT, NJ, ND, OH, PA, RI, VT, VA, WA, WV
6 Republican retentions: MS-6, MS-2, NE, TN, UT, WY
Current Senate balance: 51-47 R-D; predicted Senate balance: 55-43 R-D.
35 total Senatorial races covered
Source: Google Analytics and OnTheIssues analysis.
Gubernatorial election prediction:Nov. 1, 2018
Predictions in Governor's races: 3 Republican takeovers; 12 Democratic takeovers
OnTheIssues makes our predictions in each gubernatorial race (see our methodology in our House predictons on Oct. 24). Highlights:
12 Democratic takeovers: AZ, GA, ID, IL, ME, MI, NV, OH, OK, SD, TN, WY
3 Republican takeovers: CA, OR, PA
7 Democratic retentions: AK, CO, CT, HI, MN, NY, RI
14 Republican retentions: AL, AR, FL, IA, KS, MD, MA, NE, NH, NM, SC, TX, VT, WI
Current Governor party balance: 34-16 R-D; predicted Governor party balance: 25-25 R-D.
36 total gubernatorial races covered
State and current party control: (red for Republican; blue for Democrat) Predicted winner, and OnTheIssues viewership scores:
Predicted loser(s), and OnTheIssues viewership scores:
Alabama Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Kay Ivey (R) 837
Walt Maddox (D) 368
Alaska Incumbent independent governor withdrew last week
Mark Begich (D) 278+254
Bill Walker (I) 287
Mike Dunleavy (R) 140.
Arizona Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
David Garcia (D) 3,134
Doug Ducey (R) 2,990+28
Arkansas Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Asa Hutchinson (R) 860
Jared Henderson (D) 562
Mark West (L) 239
California Democratic governor Jerry Brown term-limited
John H. Cox (R) 9,910+22
Gavin Newsom (D) 6,684+8
Colorado Democratic governor John Hickenlooper term-limited
Jared Polis (D) 1,560+487+12
Walker Stapleton (R) 815+5
Connecticut Democratic governor Dan Malloy retiring
Ned Lamont (D) 604+6
Bob Stefanowski (R) 120.
Florida Republican governor Rick Scott term-limited
Ron DeSantis (R) 8,855+2,772+1,122+41=12,790
Andrew Gillum (D) 12,504+48=12,552
Georgia Republican governor Nathan Deal term-limited
Stacey Abrams (D) 8,680+59
Brian Kemp (R) 4,720+25
Hawaii Incumbent Democratic governor running for re-election
David Ige (D) 405
Andria Tupola (R) 280.
Idaho Republican governor Butch Otter retiring
Paulette Jordan (D) 820+7
Brad Little (R) 758
Illinois Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
J. B. Pritzker (D) 9,278+3
Bruce Rauner (R) 7,773+175
Iowa Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Kim Reynolds (R) 5,237+5
Fred Hubbell (D) 3,666+34
Kansas Incumbent Republican governor Jeff Colyer lost primary
Kris Kobach (R) 1,102
Greg Orman (I) 815+148+7
Laura Kelly (D) 540.
Maine Republican governor Paul LePage term-limited
Janet Mills (D) 1,449+63
Shawn Moody (R) 960.
Maryland Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Larry Hogan (R) 4,802
Ben Jealous (D) 1,587+9
Massachusetts Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Charlie Baker (R) 5,258+8
Jay Gonzalez (D) 1,748
Michigan Republican governor Rick Snyder term-limited
Gretchen Whitmer (D) 2,744+13
Bill Schuette (R) 1,143
Minnesota DFL governor Mark Dayton retiring
Tim Walz (DFL) 1,350+538+19
Jeff Johnson (R) 795+5
Nebraska Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Pete Ricketts (R) 743+1
Bob Krist (D) 738+3
Nevada Republican governor Brian Sandoval term-limited
Steve Sisolak (D) 806
Adam Laxalt (R) 653
New Hampshire Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Chris Sununu (R) 993
Molly Kelly (D) 300.
Jilletta Jarvis (L) 290.
New Mexico Republican governor Susana Martinez term-limited
Steve Pearce (R) 973+66+10=1,049
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) 646+329+32=1,007
New York Incumbent Democratic governor running for re-election
Andrew Cuomo (D) 3,767+33
Marc Molinaro (R) 2,009
Howie Hawkins (G) 1,124
Larry Sharpe (L) 617
Cynthia Nixon (I) 201
Ohio Republican governor John Kasich term-limited
Richard Cordray (D) 4,450+26
Mike DeWine (R) 3,254+6
Oklahoma Republican governor Mary Fallin term-limited
Drew Edmondson (D) 1,240
Kevin Stitt (R) 383+12
Chris Powell (L) 321+8
Joe Maldonado(L) 15
Oregon Incumbent Democratic governor running for re-election
Knute Buehler (R) 1,663
Kate Brown (D) 1,186
Pennsylvania Incumbent Democratic governor running for re-election
Scott Wagner (R) 5,601+11
Tom Wolf (D) 5,152+26
Ken Krawchuk (L) 506
Rhode Island Incumbent Democratic governor running for re-election
Gina Raimondo (D) 260
Allan Fung (R) 220
South Carolina Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Henry McMaster (R) 557+5
James Emerson Smith (D) 172
South Dakota Republican governor Dennis Daugaard term-limited
Billie Sutton (D) 1,094
Kristi Noem (R) 402+319
Tennessee Republican governor Bill Haslam term-limited
Karl Dean (D) 1,920
Bill Lee (R) 1,290.
Texas Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Greg Abbott (R) 4,707
Lupe Valdez (D) 1,440+4
Vermont Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Phil Scott (R) 671+5
Christine Hallquist (D) 250.
Wisconsin Incumbent Republican governor running for re-election
Scott Walker (R) 4,187+14
Tony Evers (D) 1,477+3
Wyoming Republican governor Matt Mead term-limited
Mary Throne (D) 251
Mark Gordon (R) 172
Rex Rammell (C) 5
Source: Google Analytics and OnTheIssues analysis.