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2012 Election Coverage
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Ron Paul suspends new state campaigning: May 14, 2012

But will continue delegate-gathering in previous states

Ron Paul, the last remaining GOP opponent to Mitt Romney, today suspended active campaigning in states with primaries after today. But he will continue to actively seek delegates from previous voting, and asks supporters to vote for him in all primaries. Paul's statement via email:

“Our campaign will continue to work in the state convention process. We will continue to take leadership positions, win delegates, and carry a strong message to the Republican National Convention that Liberty is the way of the future. Moving forward, however, we will no longer spend resources campaigning in primaries in states that have not yet voted. Doing so with any hope of success would take many tens of millions of dollars we simply do not have. I encourage all supporters of Liberty to make sure you get to the polls and make your voices heard, particularly in the local, state, and Congressional elections, where so many defenders of Freedom are fighting and need your support.”
The field for the general election now includes thse candidates:
  • Gov. Mitt Romney: MA Republican, to be formally nominated at GOP convention on August 27.
  • Pres. Barack Obama: IL Democrat, to be formally nominated at Democratic convention on September 3.
  • Dr. Jill Stein MA Green, to be formally nominated at Green National Convention on July 12.
  • Gov. Buddy Roemer LA former governor, frontrunner for AmericansElect convention in June.
  • Gov. Gary Johnson NM Libertarian, was nominated at the Libertarian National Convention on May 5.
  • Rep. Virgil Goode VA former representative, was nominated at the Constitution Party National Convention on April 21.
  • Mayor Rocky Anderson Salt Lake City's former mayor, was nominated by the Justice Party on January 13.

Sources: Ron Paul press release; and OnTheIssues archives.


Newt Gingrich suspends presidential campaign: May 2, 2012

Ron Paul stays in

Newt Gingrich withdrew from the presidential race, leaving the nomination to Mitt Romney. Ron Paul evidently will stay in the race until the convention, as promised. Paul's statement on Gingrich's withdrawal:

“As he exits the race for the Republican nomination, I’d like to acknowledge my former colleague in the House Newt Gingrich for running a spirited campaign. In particular, I want to thank the former Speaker for echoing my calls for monetary policy reform including a full audit of the Federal Reserve, steps that will bring America closer to lasting economic prosperity for middle-class Americans who bear the brunt of the dangerous and unjust inflation tax.”
Another of Ron Paul's books has been re-released for 2012, "The Case For Gold", which is included in the list of Ron Paul books excerpted and reviewed below:

Sources: Ron Paul press release; and OnTheIssues archives.


Senate debate coverage: April 20, 2012

Shift to Senate election coverage by OnTheIssues.org

Senate debates are underway; some for primaries and some for the general election. OnTheIssues.org covers all debates; we'll cover more states as their races get underway. So far....

Sources: OnTheIssues.org archives


Santorum withdraws: April 11, 2012

Shift to general election coverage by OnTheIssues.org

Sen. Rick Santorum "suspended" his campaign; hence OnTheIssues.org switches to general election coverage. The following candidates are running for President as their party nominees:

Candidate Party
Gov. Mitt Romney Republican
Pres. Barack Obama Democrat
Vice Pres. Joe Biden Democrat
Jill Stein Green
Gov. Gary Johnson Libertarian
Mayor Rocky Anderson Justice
Gov. Buddy Roemer AmericansElect
Andre Barnett Reform

Sources: OnTheIssues.org archives


Romney wins three primaries: April 3, 2012

Romney wins Wisconsin, Maryland, and D.C.

After a protracted Republican primary season, many viewed tonight as the potential “tipping point night” in the Mitt Romney campaign. This was to be the win where things changed, according to the conventional wisdom.

Problem is, this is an unconventional year. Who would have predicted just a few months ago that Rick Santorum would be the last man standing to challenge Romney?

Santorum and Gingrich never got the memo. After Romney’s sweep of the primaries, Santorum gave a speech about looking toward the future and May primaries. Gingrich sent out a defiant press release saying, “Our party must commit itself to a bold, conservative platform. We cannot win on an etch-a-sketch platform that shows no principle or backbone.”

Mitt Romney began Tuesday night with an easy primary victory in Maryland. The Maryland race was called for Romney as the polls closed at 8 p.m ET. In D.C., Santorum did not appear on the ballot.

The delegate counts:

Jan.-Feb.Super TuesdayMarchWIMDDCTotal
Mitt Romney147 223146 333718 604
Rick Santorum84 8989 900 271
Newt Gingrich29 7425 000 128
Ron Paul18 232 000 48
Total278 409191 423718 1,051

Sources: Fox News (April 4); ABC News (April 4); and OnTheIssues archives.
Click for FAQs on the Primary Process.


Santorum wins Louisiana Primary: March 25, 2012

Romney wins Illinois and Puerto Rico

There are two tracks to the GOP race, and the former Massachusetts governor is winning both. The most important is the fight to accumulate the 1,144 convention delegates needed to secure the nomination. Romney has done consistently well in that effort, including winning the Illinois primary. The second aspect of the race involves perceptions; here Romney has fared less well.

As a U.S. territory, Puerto Rico has no electoral votes in the general election in November. However, it does send 23 delegates to the Republican National Convention in August. Santorum made a serious gaffe while campaigning on the island last week, insisting to local voters that federal law needed to make English the "main language" to achieve statehood.

Santorum won the Louisiana Republican presidential primary Saturday. Santorum's win underscores a pattern in the drawn-out race. "This race has clearly gotten down to two candidates that can win the nomination," Santorum told reporters in Milwaukee. "I'd love to have a one-on-one debate."

Santorum claimed Sunday that his nomination chances are not nearly as dim as they look. He effectively claimed that the delegate tally is inaccurate. "There's a lot of bad math there that doesn't reflect the reality of what's going on on the ground. And so I think we're in much, much better shape than what the numbers that are out there suggest," Santorum said in an interview.

The delegate counts:

Jan.-Feb.Super TuesdayLast WeeksPRILLATotal
Mitt Romney147 22376 22435 516
Rick Santorum84 8969 01010 262
Newt Gingrich29 7424 100 128
Ron Paul18 232 000 48
Total278 409191 235315 954

What does Santorum mean about "bad math"? First, there are a couple hundred superdelegates -- party officials and so on -- who are not committed based on the primaries. Second, Santorum can force an open convention if Romney does not reach the 50% threshold in the primaries.

So far in all of the primaries, Romney is at 54% (516 out of 954). Since Super Tuesday, Romney has captured only 51% (146 out of 282). In other words, Santorum is gaining ground. The numbers require the superdelegates to push Romney below 50% -- which would require that Santorum gain more ground in upcoming primaries to persuade them!

Sources: Melanie Jones in International Business Times (Mar. 18); Mark Barabak in Chicago Tribune (Mar. 21);
AP in New Orleans Times-Picayune (Mar. 24); Fox News (Mar. 25); and OnTheIssues archives.
Click for FAQs on the Primary Process.


New Senate Challengers: March 20, 2012

A dozen new Senate candidates excerpted by OnTheIssues.org

Late entrants into the Senate races now have their issue stances outlined. Each campaign has the opportunity to answer our VoteMatch quiz; we outline the basics in the meantime.

StateCandidateParty
AZDon BivensDemocratic
AZRichard CarmonaDemocratic
CTLinda McMahonRepublican
CTChris MurphyDemocratic
HILinda LingleRepublican
MDCorrogan VaughnRepublican
MEAngus KingIndependent
MIScotty BomanLibertarian
MSAlbert N. GoreDemocratic
NYBob TurnerRepublican
PASteve WelchRepublican
TNZach Poskevich Republican
TXPaul SadlerDemocratic

Sources: OnTheIssues.org archives


Santorum wins Southern Caucuses: March 13, 2012

Romney wins Hawaii and American Samoa

Romney was rejected by Southern conservatives in the primaries in Mississippi and Alabama, won caucuses in Hawaii and American Samoa to claim about a third of the total delegates available and maintain his lead. However, Santorum's twin primary triumphs -- while narrow -- reframed the GOP race as a one-on-one battle between the socially conservative former Pennsylvania senator and the more moderate Romney, with Gingrich's chances fading fast.

Texas Rep. Ron Paul, the libertarian champion, continued to trail well behind the other three candidates in the campaign to face President Barack Obama in November.

"There is no end in sight," noted Ari Fleischer, a CNN contributor who was White House press secretary under President George W. Bush. "... For Republicans who thought that maybe Mitt Romney could come South and make this race look like it was coming to an end, this race is going on and on and on."

OnTheIssues notes: The total for the day, in all four contests, was 43 delegates for Romney and 36 delegates for Santorum.

The delegate counts:

Jan.-Feb.Super TuesdayLast WeekALHISamoaMSTotal
Mitt Romney147 22333 119914 446
Rick Santorum84 8933 194013 242
Newt Gingrich29 740 120012 127
Ron Paul18 231 0100 48
Total278 40967 4214939 863

Sources: Tom Cohen, Jason Hanna and John Helton, on CNN, and OnTheIssues archives.
Click for FAQs on the Primary Process.


Santorum wins Kansas Caucus: March 11, 2012

Romney wins 3 primaries in U.S. Territories

Rick Santorum won the Kansas caucuses in a rout on Saturday Final returns in Kansas showed Santorum with 51% support, far outpacing Romney, who had 21%. Newt Gingrich had 14% and Ron Paul trailed with 13%.

Santorum picked up 33 of the state’s 40 delegates at stake, cutting slightly into Romney’s overwhelming’s advantage.

Romney’s totals included 22 that he picked up in the Virgin Islands, Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands.

The delegate counts:

Jan.-Feb.Super TuesdayKSGuamVirgin IslandsMarianasTotal
Mitt Romney147 223 7989 403
Rick Santorum84 89 33000 206
Newt Gingrich29 74 0000 103
Ron Paul18 23 0010 47
Total278 409 40999 759

Sources: OnTheIssues FAQs
Click for FAQ on Brokered Conventions.


Dennis Kucinich (D, OH) loses primary: Mar. 7, 2012

First of eleven incumbent-vs.-incumbent races due to redistricting

Rep. Dennis J. Kucinich (D-Ohio), the two-time presidential candidate and icon of the antiwar left, suffered a bruising primary defeat Tuesday as a new Republican-drawn congressional map threatened to end the career of one of the most colorful figures in Congress.

With most attention focused on the state’s GOP presidential primary battle, and no Democratic primary for president, Kucinich was left in a low-turnout race in a newly drawn district against his once-close ally, Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D-Ohio).

The election is the first of 13 House races in 2012 that pit a sitting lawmaker against another sitting lawmaker. Eleven of those races are primary battles, seven Democratic and four Republican. The additional two races, in Iowa and Ohio, pit a sitting Democratic and Republican incumbent against each other in the general election.

These races guarantee that 13 incumbent lawmakers will not return next year, setting the stage for an election season of bruising and negative member-on-member campaigns that occur every 10 years. The races are:

March 6Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D, OH-10)vs.Rep. Marcy Kaptur (D, OH-9)
March 20Rep. Adam Kinzinger (R, IL-11)vs.Rep. Don Manzullo (R, IL-16)
April 24Rep. Mark Critz (D, PA-12)vs.Rep. Jason Altmire (D, PA-4)
June 5Rep. Steve Rothman (D, NJ-9)vs.Rep. Bill Pascrell Jr. (D, NJ-8)
June 5Rep. Howard Berman (D, CA-28)vs.Rep. Brad Sherman (D, CA-27)
June 5Rep. Janice Hahn (D, CA-36)vs.Rep. Laura Richardson (D, CA-37)
Aug. 7Rep. William Lacy Clay (D, MO-1)vs.Rep. Russ Carnahan (D, MO-3)
Aug. 7Rep. Gary Peters (D, MI-9)vs.Rep. Hansen Clarke (D, MI-13)
Aug. 14Rep. Sandy Adams (R, FL-24)vs.Rep. John Mica (R, FL-7)
Aug. 28Rep. David Schweikert (R, AZ-5)vs.Rep. Ben Quayle (R, AZ-3)
Nov. 6Rep. Jeff Landry (R, LA-3)vs.Rep. Charles Boustany (R, LA-7)

Sources: USA Today (Mar. 2); Associated Press (Mar. 5); Washington Post (Mar. 7); and OnTheIssues.org archives (Mar. 8)
Click for all House races.


Super Tuesday: March 6, 2012

Romney wins 6; Santorum wins 3; Gingrich wins 1; Paul wins 0

The delegate counts from Super Tuesday:

AKGAIDMANDOHOKTNVTVAWYTotal
Mitt Romney815324173513129438223
Rick Santorum73001121142640389
Newt Gingrich347002013900074
Ron Paul6000801043123
Total2465324128564147174612409

Sources: OnTheIssues FAQs
Click for FAQ on Brokered Conventions.


Olympia Snowe (R, ME) announces retirement: Mar. 1, 2012

Click for Olympia Snowe's issue stances

Moderate Republican Senator Olympia Snowe's decision to step down from her long-held Senate seat in a high-stakes election year is reverberating like an earthquake across Maine's political landscape. The departure of the popular incumbent, who faced little opposition for her party's nomination--and that polls indicated stood a good chance of winning re-election--throws the race for her much-coveted Senate seat wide open.

Among those expressing interest in jumping into the race: Maine's two Democratic U.S. House representatives, Chellie Pingree and Mike Michaud.

But major party candidates are coming up on a March 15 deadline to file signatures for entering the race. So far, Scott D'Amboise is the only GOP candidate left in the race, but some prominent Republicans, including Maine's current secretary of state, Charlie Summers, are being mentioned as potential candidates.

In Nebraska, Former senator and New York City college administrator Bob Kerrey (D) completed a remarkable turnaround, declaring he will run for the Democratic nomination for his old seat.

Sen. Ben Nelson (D) announced his retirement some time ago.

Sources: Maine Public Broadcasting Network (Feb. 28); Huffington Post (Feb. 29); and OnTheIssues.org archives (Mar. 2)
Click for all issues stances by Olympia Snowe and issues stances by Bob Kerrey.


Mitt Romney wins Michigan and Arizona: Feb. 28, 2012

Super Tuesday arrives in one week

Mitt Romney won both the Michigan primary and the Arizona winner-take-all primary.

Romney continues to lead his foes in the delegate hunt, adding at least three dozen to his total after beating Rick Santorum in Michigan and Arizona.

But with 437 delegates on the table next Tuesday, and with most of them allocated according to each candidate's share of the vote, all four of the GOP contenders are certain to boost their delegate counts, giving everyone in the field a rationale, however thin, to move forward.

The Super Tuesday map features both bright spots and traps for every candidate -- Romney is expected to coast to easy wins in Massachusetts and Virginia, for instance, but faces a tough slog in states like Ohio and Tennessee -- meaning that no one is likely to emerge as an outright victor when the smoke clears.

The delegate count as of the two new primaries:

IANHSCFLNVCO/MNMEAZMITotal
Mitt Romney127250 149112913147
Rick Santorum13000 355001384
Newt Gingrich00230 6000029
Ron Paul0300 50100018
Jon Huntsman0200 000002

Sources: OnTheIssues FAQs
Click for FAQ on Brokered Conventions.


Four-way debate in Arizona: Feb. 22, 2012

Click for excerpts of CNN debate on eve of Arizona primary

The Republican presidential candidates take the stage for another debate, the last one before Super Tuesday. After 19 previous debates, that may be a relief or a disappointment, depending on your appetite for debates. But this debate in Mesa, Arizona, could have far-reaching consequences. It comes less than a week before primaries in Arizona and Michigan, and less than two weeks before voters in 10 states go to the polls.

Santorum is in a heated contest against Romney in what has essentially turned into a two-man contest for the nomination to challenge President Obama, surging in recent polls both nationally and in key primary states.

But Romney, who has a wide lead in Arizona, is claiming he's got something none of his opponents has -- a business background. Romney said if he were president, he would go through every single federal program and ask if it is affordable or whether it's worth borrowing money to pay for it.

Sources: NPR's All Things Considered (Feb. 22) & Fox News (Feb. 23)
Click for CNN Arizona GOP primary debate.


Donald Trump reconsiders re-entering race: Feb. 21, 2012

Will re-enter race if Rick Santorum wins nomination

Donald Trump told CNBC he would "seriously, seriously" consider jumping into the White House race if Rick Santorum wins the GOP presidential nomination.

Said Trump: "Honestly, if Santorum got it, I would seriously, seriously consider it. We need someone that's really going to be great. This is the most important election in my opinion that this country has ever had. Santorum is not the right person."

He added that he is a "free agent" after his Apprentice show ends its season on May 16.

Sources: PoliticalWire.com reporting on CNBC interview
Click for all Donald Trump's issue stances or Donald Trump's book, "Time To Get Tough".


Mitt Romney squeaks to victory in Maine Caucuses: Feb. 12, 2012

Ron Paul promises to stay until Tampa; FAQ on Brokered Conventions

Ron Paul and Mitt Romney battled to a near-tie in the Maine caucuses on Feb. 12, 2012. The press declared Romney the victor by 196 votes, but the caucuses were just a "beauty contest" -- the popular vote awarded no delegates yet. The actual delegate count won't be known for several weeks; our figures below are just estimates. The Ron Paul campaign claimed they still may win the delegate count victory, based on the town-by-town results and one snowed-out caucus in a Paul-favorable district. We'll follow the mainstream media estimate of delegates for Maine, and award a near-even split between Romney and Paul:

IANHSCFLNVCO/MNMETotal
Mitt Romney127250 14911105
Rick Santorum13000 355071
Newt Gingrich00230 60029
Ron Paul0300 501018
Jon Huntsman0200 0002

Romney has only won 4 out of 9 contests so far, and something of a pattern has emerged: Ron Paul heavily contests caucus states such as Maine; Rick Santorum heavily contests Christian conservative states such as Colorado; and Newt Gingrich heavily contests hard-core "red states" such as South Carolina. That pattern means that Romney has a fight on his hands in just about every upcoming state, and none of his three opponents seem likely to withdraw anytime soon.

So what happens? The pundits have started talking about a "brokered convention," which means that the primaries don't choose a nominee, so a nominee is selected at the Republican National Convention. For details click below....

Sources: OnTheIssues FAQs
Click for FAQ on Brokered Conventions.


Rick Santorum wins triple header: Feb. 10, 2012

Santorum wins MN, MO, and CO

Santorum won caucus votes Tuesday in Minnesota and Colorado and a primary in Missouri. Santorum had been seen surging in the Midwestern states of Minnesota and Missouri thanks to support from evangelical Christians, but few expected him to win in the Rocky Mountain west.

It was a bitter blow for Romney, who had romped home in Colorado and Minnesota during his 2008 bid with large leads in the final counts. The triple win catapulted Santorum at least for the moment past former House speaker Newt Gingrich into the role of Romney's main rival.

Rick Santorum has surged nationally in the race for the 2012 Republican nomination after his three-state sweep this week, while Mitt Romney has lost ground among GOP primary voters. In addition, most GOP voters say the nomination race isn’t over -- someone other than Romney could still win.

The latest delegate counts appear below.

IANHSCFLNVCO/MNTotal
Mitt Romney127250 14691
Rick Santorum13000 32844
Newt Gingrich00230 6029
Ron Paul0300 508
Jon Huntsman0200 002

Missouri will not award delegates until a later caucus on March 17, so its primary was just a "beauty contest".

Sources: Fox News, canada.com, and OnTheIssues FAQs
Click for Sen. Santorum's issue stances.


Mitt Romney wins Nevada Caucus: Feb. 5, 2012

Click for our analysis of Open vs. Closed primaries.

Mitt Romney won the Nevada caucuses, but since it's a proportional caucus, the three other contenders -- Sen. Rick Santorum, Speaker Newt Gingrich, and Rep. Ron Paul -- also gained a few delegates each. The delegate score after the Nevada caucuses is:

IANHSCFLNVTotal
Mitt Romney127250 1485
Newt Gingrich00230 629
Rick Santorum13000 316
Ron Paul0300 58
Jon Huntsman0200 02

Nevada holds "closed caucuses", which means only voters who had previously registered as Republicans can vote. Closed caucuses have fewer participants than open caucuses, and caucuses have fewer participants than primaries. So a closed caucus is the smallest of all contests -- only 33,000 people voted in Nevada, compared to 250,000 in New Hampshire. For more on Open vs. Closed Primaries in anticipation of Super Tuesday, see link below....

Sources: OnTheIssues Frequently Asked Questions
Click for our Open vs. Closed primaries FAQ.


Suzanne Bonamici (D, OR) wins special election: Feb. 1, 2012

Click for
Suzanne Bonamici's issue stances

Democrat Suzanne Bonamici swept to victory Tuesday in Oregon's 1st Congressional District, continuing her party's nearly four-decade-long hold on the seat covering the northwestern corner of the state.

With the bulk of ballots counted [from the all-mail-in balloting], Bonamici was defeating Republican Rob Cornilles by about 15 percentage points in the special election to fill the seat left vacant by the resignation of Democrat David Wu in August.

Elsewhere, three members of the House announced their retirement this week. Rep. Gabrielle Giffords resigned from the House for her medical recovery.; Gov. Jan Brewer (R, AZ)announced the date for the special primary will be April 17 and the special general election will be on June 12.

Redistricting has caused two new House resignations: Rep. Brad Miller (D, NC) and Rep. Dan Burton (R, IN) both announced that they will not seek re-election. Redisticting in both those states caused overlapping districts in which the incumbent would have to fight over another incumbent. Redistricting may claim some additional incumbents as the district races get sorted out; see our House of Representatives page for a rough outline.

Sources: The Oregonian, San Pedro Valley News-Sun (AZ), and OnTheIssues.org archives
Click for all issues stances by Suzanne Bonamici


Mitt Romney wins Florida primary: Jan. 31, 2012

Click for excerpts from GOP primary debate in Jacksonville Florida

Mitt Romney won all 50 delegates in the Florida primary, the first statewide winner-take-all primary. Here is the delegate count post-Florida:

IANHSCFLTotal
Mitt Romney12725071
Newt Gingrich0023023
Rick Santorum1300013
Ron Paul03003
Jon Huntsman02002

For more on Winner-take-all vs. Proportional Primaries, see link below....

Sources: OnTheIssues Frequently Asked Questions
Click for excerpts from the Florida debate or our Winner-take-all vs. Proportional Primary FAQ.


President Obama delivers State of the Union speech: Jan. 24, 2012

Click for excerpts from State of the Union speech and GOP Response

It was a wish list, not a to-do list. President Obama's array of plans in his State of the Union speech was light on a key piece of context -- namely, that his hands are so tied ahead of the election that it is doubtful many if any of them can be done in the remainder of his term. There can be little more than wishful thinking behind his call to end oil industry subsidies -- something he could not get through a Democratic Congress, much less today's divided Congress, much less in this election year.

Sources: Fox News Fact Check
Click for all issues stances by Barack Obama or complete excerpts from the State of the Union


Rep. Gabby Giffords (R, AZ) announces resignation: Jan. 22, 2012

Click for excerpts from Gabby Giffords voting record

Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, the three-term Arizona Democrat who was shot in the head during a 2011 assassination attempt, announced Sunday that she will resign from Congress this week in order to focus on her continuing recovery. She plans to attend President Barack Obama's State of the Union address on Tuesday and will resign sometime after that.

Giffords' resignation will force a special election to fill her seat in the 8th Congressional District. Republican candidates state Sen. Frank Antenori, R-Tucson, and Dave Sitton, a University of Arizona sports broadcaster, already had formed exploratory committees for the November general election to test the waters for a possible run in her district. Jesse Kelly, Giffords' 2010 GOP opponent also might run again. Republican Adam Hansen of Bisbee also has announced his candidacy.

On the Democratic side, state legislators Paula Aboud, Steve Farley and Matt Heinz of Tucson have been mentioned as possible Giffords replacements. Mark Kelly, Giffords' retired astronaut husband, Pia Carusone, her congressional chief of staff, and Ron Barber, her state director, also have been mentioned as possibilities, although Kelly particularly has indicated he isn't interested in running.

According to state law, Gov. Jan Brewer (R-Ariz.) must set a date for a special election primary 80 to 90 days after Giffords formally steps down, and a general election will be set for 50 to 60 days after the primary. So the primary election for Giffords seat will likely be held in late April with the general election in June.

The state’s independent redistricting comission made Giffords’ swing seat slightly more Democratic. But that map is under dispute, and a special election for Giffords’ seat will be held under the old lines. That’s the map under which Giffords was reelected in 2010 by a mere 1.3 percent margin. Her district voted for Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in 2008.

But the special circumstances — Giffords has become a national hero since the assassination attempt against her last January — surrounding the seat could give Democrats something of a boost.

Sources: Arizona Republica and Washington Post
Click for all issues stances by Gabby Giffords


Newt Gingrich wins South Carolina primary: Jan. 21, 2012

FAQ: How did the S.C. primary differ from the previous ones?

After the South Carolina primary (Jan. 21, 2012), the pundits breathlessly assert, "It's all tied up: One for Newt; one for Mitt; and one for Santorum." (Newt Gingrich won the South Carolina primary; Mitt Romney won the New Hampshire primary; Rick Santorum retroactively won the Iowa caucus). So is that true, that it's all tied up?

No, of course not. The way to keep score is to count delegates, not to count states. South Carolina has 25 delegates -- more than any one candidate had after the New Hampshire and Iowa contests. And furthermore, South Carolina was a "district-winner-take-all" primary -- so almost all of its delegates went to Newt; whereas the other two contests were "proportional" -- so their delegates were split. Hence Newt Gingrich is well in the lead -- but it won't matter in a few weeks, when Super Tuesday arrives! Here is the delegate count post-South Carolina:

IANHSCTotal
Newt Gingrich002323
Mitt Romney127221
Rick Santorum130013
Ron Paul0303
Jon Huntsman0202

For more on Winner-take-all vs. Proportional Primaries, see link below....

Sources: OnTheIssues Frequently Asked Questions
Click for excerpts from the South Carolina debate or our Winner-take-all vs. Proportional Primary FAQ or other FAQs from previous elections.


Gov. Rick Perry exits presidential race: Jan. 19, 2012

Former Senator Rick Santorum retroactively wins Iowa caucus

Texas Gov. Rick Perry dropped out of the Republican presidential race Thursday, saying he saw no way forward. The same day, the Iowa Republican party announced that Mitt Romney is no longer the winner of the caucuses there.

[Perhaps, on the eve of the South Carolina primary, Perry] wanted to spare himself the indignity of a bad finish. And actually determine the terms of his exit and to have everybody care about what he says as he leaves, and that's what endorsing Newt Gingrich does for him. It's not like Rick Perry had a lot of votes to give to Gingrich.

In Iowa, with the primary more than two weeks ago, now, we find out that it was not Romney's win. That it was actually Santorum's, although we may never really know who won because it's being called a statistical tie. When they did a re-canvas, which is part of the normal process--it's not a recount--the tally comes in Santorum 34 points ahead.

Sources: National Public Radio NPR.org
Click for all issue stances from Rick Perry or Rick Santorum


Jon Huntsman exits presidential race: Jan. 15, 2012

Former Governor of Utah withdraws after 3rd place showing in N.H.

Jon M. Huntsman Jr. informed his advisers on Sunday that he intends to drop out of the Republican presidential race, ending his candidacy a week before he had hoped to revive his campaign in the South Carolina primary.

The campaign manager to Mr. Huntsman confirmed the decision in an interview Sunday evening. “The governor and his family, at this point in the race, decided it was time for Republicans to rally around a candidate who could beat Barack Obama and turn around the economy. That candidate is Gov. Mitt Romney.”

A third-place finish in the New Hampshire primary last week failed to jump start Mr. Huntsman’s flagging candidacy, aides said, and his campaign limped into South Carolina with little money. Mr. Huntsman has spent days pondering his future in the race, but aides said that he concluded he was unlikely to topple Mitt Romney or match the momentum of his Republican rivals in the conservative Southern primary.

The decision from Mr. Huntsman came on the same day that he received the endorsement from The State, the newspaper in the capital of Columbia. He had campaigned in South Carolina over the weekend, not giving any indication that the end was near.

Voters also seemed wary of a candidacy by a man whose most recent service was to the very many he now wanted to oust. Fawning letters that Mr. Huntsman wrote about Mr. Obama’s leadership did not help that case.

Mr. Huntsman did better in New Hampshire than polls might have suggested, but he came in a distant third behind Mitt Romney and Ron Paul.

Sources: JIM RUTENBERG AND JEFF ZELENY, N.Y. Times
Click for all issue stances from Jon Huntsman


Mitt Romney wins New Hampshire primary: Jan. 12, 2012

FAQ: How do primaries differ from caucuses?

The Jan. 10 New Hampshire primary was the first primary in the 2012 presidential race. It followed the Iowa caucus, but represents different political skills than a caucus; we'll discuss the differences below.

Mitt Romney won both Iowa and N.H. (statistics below) and now has 20 delegates. Rick Santorum has 12 delegates from Iowa but gained none in N.H.; Ron Paul & Jon Huntsman gained their first few delegates each.

Primaries differ substantially from caucuses. The key differences, and their political implications, are:

For more on primaries vs. caucuses, see link below....

Sources: OnTheIssues Frequently Asked Questions
Click for Primary vs. Caucus FAQ or other FAQs from previous elections.


Meet the Pres GOP Primary Debate: Jan. 8, 2012

Candidates debate on Meet the Press

This Sunday, a special edition of MEET THE PRESS live from New Hampshire, the last debate before the first in the nation Republican presidential primary. Voting here is just 48 hours away. We come to the Granite State where nearly one in five voters remains undecided despite seeing these candidates face-to-face in town halls, coffee shops and even in their living rooms, a small state that will have a big impact on the race. Their motto, "Live free or die." The issues: jobs and the economy, America's role in the world, and which of these candidates is best suited to take on President Obama. This morning, a debate in partnership with Facebook, the world's number one social platform, and the New Hampshire Union Leader. The candidates, the issues and your questions.

All six candidates are here; and before we begin, you know the drill, we quickly go through the rules. Each candidate will have one minute, 60 seconds, to make their statement, to respond to questions and, at my discretion, 30 seconds for follow-ups or rebuttals. We're on a pretty tight schedule, so I will ask the candidates to stay within their allotted time, and we'll see how that goes.

Sources: Meet the Press coverage and OnTheIssues Archive
Click for debate excerpts.


New Hampshire Primary Debate: Jan. 7, 2012

Candidates debate on WMUR-NH TV

Protesters gathered in Manchester on Saturday hours before the Republican presidential candidates met to debate.

Occupy New Hampshire rallied at Veterans Park in downtown Manchester, saying that the 99 percent need a voice not only during the first-in-the-nation primary but during the general election, as well.

"We're saying they're controlled by lobbyists, by the 1 percent corporation and that our voice doesn't matter," said protester Grace Braley.

The gathering included Democrats, Republicans and independents, all saying they were protesting against what they called the establishment. They said the money spent on politics and getting into the White House has gotten out of control.

During the debate, protesters and supporters of the campaigns chanted outside St. Anselm College.

Sources: WMUR.com coverage and OnTheIssues Archive
Click for debate excerpts.


What does the Iowa caucus mean?: Jan. 6, 2012

Our first FAQ of 2012

On Jan. 3, 2012, the Iowa caucuses represented the first vote in the 2012 presidential primary. The mainstream media breathlessly reported "Romney won by 8 votes over Santorum! And Ron Paul placed a respectable third!"

As usual, the mainstream media got it wrong.

The mainstream media reported on the popular vote -- the number of actual people voting for each candidate. But the real result is the delegate count. It's the same as the electoral college vs. the popular vote in the general election -- the popular vote is what's reported, but it doesn't actually count.

The presidential campaigns focus on getting above the "magic number" of 1,143 delegates. The Iowa caucus, despite all the media hoopla, assigned only 25 delegates -- 13 to Romney and 12 to Santorum. Iowa is a small state and so is New Hampshire -- the N.H. Republican primary on Jan. 10 will assign only another 12 delegates.

Click for more detais and the popular vote count, and the delegate vote count, from the Iowa caucus.

This is the first in a series of FAQs about the 2012 election. We will update our previous election cycle's FAQs for 2012, too, over the coming weeks.

Sources: OnTheIssues Frequently Asked Questions
Click for Iowa caucus FAQ or other FAQs from previous elections.


Michele Bachmann drops out after Iowa caucus: Jan. 4, 2012

Iowa caucus results: Mitt Romney 1st; Rick Santorum 2nd; Ron Paul 3rd

A day after lackluster showings in the Iowa caucuses, Rep. Michele Bachmann dropped out of the Republican presidential nomination race Wednesday, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry spent several hours reassessing his candidacy before announcing he would remain in the contest.

Both onetime front-runners in Iowa, Mrs. Bachmann and Mr. Perry had tried to consolidate the state's bloc of socially conservative voters. But those voters split among multiple candidates, with former Sen. Rick Santorum drawing a big enough share to claim second place in the caucuses behind Mitt Romney.

Sources: Kasie Hunt on Bloomberg Businessweek, and OnTheIssues.org archives
Click for Michele Bachmann's issues stances.


Sen. Ben Nelson (D, NE) announces retirement: Dec. 28, 2011

Click for excerpts from Ben Nelson's voting record

Democrats lamented U.S. Sen. Ben Nelson's decision to retire rather than seek a third term in Nebraska, fearing the move sets up Republicans for an easy and crucial victory in their effort to reclaim control of the chamber next year.

Nelson, the lone Democrat in Nebraska's five-member congressional delegation, faced a tough re-election campaign against a large group of Republican challengers who have spent the past several months attacking his support for President Barack Obama's health care overhaul and federal stimulus legislation.

While some floated the names of state Sen. Steve Lathrop of Omaha and Nelson's former lieutenant governor, Kim Robak, as possible contenders, many said it was too early to know who might run. Messages seeking comment were left for Lathrop and Robak.

A dream candidate for Democrats: former Nebraska Sen. Bob Kerrey. Traveling in India on Tuesday, Kerrey told The Washington Post, "Ben's retirement is a huge loss for Nebraska. I am very sad he's leaving. That is as far as I am going (right now)."

Sources: Associated Press on Fox News
Click for all issues stances by Ben Nelson


Jill Stein interview: Dec. 22, 2011

OnTheIssues interviews the Green Party nominee

Former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson will abandon his GOP presidential bid and seek the White House under the Libertarian Party banner.

Dr. Jill Stein is the Green Party nominee for President of the United States in 2012.

She ran as the Green Party nominee for Governor of Massachusetts in 2002 and 2010 prior to entering the Presidential race.

Dr. Stein is a medical doctor who resides in Lexington Massachusetts.

This interview, which took place on Dec. 21, 2012, addresses our usual VoteMatch quiz plus the AmericansElect.org questions.

Sources: USA Today
Click for all Jill Stein's issue stances or Interview Excerpts or outline of the Green Party's issue stances.


Gary Johnson withdraws from GOP race: Dec. 21, 2011

Will run as Libertarian Party nominee

Former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson will abandon his GOP presidential bid and seek the White House under the Libertarian Party banner.

Johnson has drawn scant attention in the race for the Republican Party nomination and barely registered in national public opinion polls, which are often used as a criteria for participation in debates.

The former two-term governor participated in two of the 13 GOP debates this year: the first, in May in South Carolina, which lacked many of the big-name candidates, and most recently in Florida in September.

Sources: USA Today
Click for all Gary Johnson's issue stances or an outline of the Libertarian Party's issue stances.


Past Presidential Coverage: Dec. 17, 2011

OnTheIssues.org initiates coverage of past presidents

OnTheIssues.org today expands our coverage to include past presidents back to 1960. Please check out our new President's page.

1961-1963 John F. Kennedy Democrat
1963-1969 Lyndon Johnson Democrat
1969-1974 Richard Nixon Republican
1974-1977 Gerald Ford Republican
1977-1981 Jimmy Carter Democrat
1981-1989 Ronald Reagan Republican
1989-1993 George Bush Sr. Republican
1993-2001 Bill Clinton Democrat
2001-2009 George W. Bush Republican

Sources: OnTheIssues archives.
Click for all President's issue stances.


Mayoral Coverage: Dec. 16, 2011

OnTheIssues.org initiates coverage of big-city mayors

OnTheIssues.org today expands our coverage to include a dozen big-city mayors. Please check out our new Mayor's page which includes current mayors and numerous past mayors.

The long past mayor's list, of course, is why we cover mayors -- because they often "graduate" to higher offices which we already cover. Our new coverage includes:

Boston MA Tom Menino
Chicago IL Rahm Emanuel
Dallas TX Mike Rawlings
Houston TX Annise Parker
Los Angeles CA Antonio Villaraigosa
New York City NY Mike Bloomberg
New York City NY Rudy Giuliani
Newark NJ Cory Booker
Philadelphia PA Michael Nutter
Phoenix AZ Phil Gordon
Salt Lake City UT Rocky Anderson
San Antonio TX Julian Castro
San Diego CA Jerry Sanders

Sources: Mayoral press releases, Mayoral websites, and State of the City speeches.
Click for all Mayor's issue stances.

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